
Although the worst is over for the building industry, there is a high chance that in the US, housing prices will fall further. One of the signs that I watch is the mortgage purchase applications index. The reason this is important is that it gives a leading indicator to home sales because home sales generally lag the mortgage application by as much as 2 months. The index was very positive 2-3 months ago, as the government tax credit moved demand forward, but has, as expected, fallen … [Read more...]

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